The Forgetting Curve — Ebbinghaus's Discovery
In 1885, a German psychologist memorised thousands of nonsense syllables to prove something troubling about human memory.
Hermann Ebbinghaus was the first person to study memory scientifically. Between 1879 and 1885 he acted as his own experimental subject, memorising lists of nonsense syllables — meaningless consonant-vowel-consonant combinations like "DAX", "ZUB", "LEM" — and then testing his own recall at precise intervals. The nonsense was deliberate: Ebbinghaus wanted to strip away any advantage from prior knowledge or meaningful associations, measuring pure memory retention. In 1885 he published Über das Gedächtnis (On Memory), introducing the forgetting curve: a mathematical description of how quickly memory decays after learning.
The forgetting curve shows that memory loss is not gradual and linear — it is exponential. Ebbinghaus found that roughly 40–60% of new information is forgotten within one hour of learning, 60–70% within a day, and approximately 80% within a week — unless the information is reviewed. The curve then flattens: what survives one week tends to survive longer, but the critical window is the first 24 hours. Memory does not fade slowly and uniformly like a photograph left in sunlight; it collapses rapidly in the first hours and then stabilises. Murre and Dros (2015) replicated Ebbinghaus's original methodology 130 years later and confirmed the forgetting curve holds — the same exponential shape, the same dramatic early loss.
The forgetting curve also revealed something more useful: each time material is reviewed, the curve resets at a higher baseline and decays more slowly. After the first review, memory drops less steeply than after initial learning. After the second review, less steeply still. After three to four well-timed reviews, the forgetting curve becomes nearly flat — the material becomes what memory researchers call "durable." This is the core mechanism that spaced repetition exploits: not reviewing constantly, but reviewing at the right moments to intercept forgetting just before it completes.
The practical implication is uncomfortable: everything you studied last week, but have not reviewed since, has likely decayed by 60–80%. The knowledge is not entirely gone — there is usually residual memory that allows relearning to happen faster than initial learning — but it is not available for reliable retrieval. This is the foundational problem that spaced repetition solves. Not by asking you to study more, but by asking you to study differently: timed reviews at the optimal moment to intercept the forgetting curve before it drops to zero, repeatedly, until the memory becomes durable.
Ebbinghaus (1885): ~56% of new information forgotten within 1 hour. ~66% forgotten within 1 day. ~75% forgotten within 6 days. Each review resets the curve at a higher, flatter baseline. After 3–4 well-timed reviews, the curve approaches flat — material becomes durable. Murre & Dros (2015) replicated these findings unchanged after 130 years.
- Active Recall Course — Retrieval practice at each review point multiplies the spacing effect — the two techniques are synergistic.
- Spaced Repetition Flashcard Tool — Build and review your card decks with the tool designed for this course.
- Ebbinghaus, H. (1885). Über das Gedächtnis: Untersuchungen zur experimentellen Psychologie. Duncker & Humblot, Leipzig.
- Murre, J. M. J., & Dros, J. (2015). Replication and analysis of Ebbinghaus' forgetting curve. PLOS ONE, 10(7), e0120644. Link
